Southern Miss at Troy Prediction: Can Either Team Get Going?
· Yahoo Sports
Troy (2-2) played in the Sun Belt Championship last year, and Southern Miss (1-3) is expected to be a problem for the rest of the Sun Belt West, but neither one has been great so far.
The Trojans were good in a 27-17 loss to Missouri, but struggled in a 21-10 loss at Utah State a week later. Southern Miss pushed Tulane, but it was rocked at home by UConn, and the offense has struggled.
It’s a big Tuesday night moment for both teams. Neither one can afford an 0-1 Sun Belt start.
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Southern Miss vs Troy Quick Hits
- Southern Miss gets a little time off and then starts a run of three home games in four weeks, starting with Arkansas State.
- Troy alternates home and road games the rest of the way, going to Louisiana next before hosting ULM.
- The Trojans have owned the series lately, winning five straight and going 6-3 against USM since 1977.
How To Watch Southern Miss at Troy
Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN2
Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
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Why Southern Miss Will Win
Troy isn’t hitting its passes. Quarterback Goose Crowder is a good veteran, but he threw four interceptions in four games and is completing just 52% of his passes. Southern Miss has just enough of a pass rush to be a problem, and it has to get to Crowder on third downs.
The Trojans are only converting 34% of their third down tries, and they’re also making too many mistakes with five turnovers in the last two games.
Why Troy Will Win
No, the passing game hasn’t been great, and the offense isn’t efficient enough, but it’s good at controlling the clock. There’s a decent pace to what the Trojans do, but they do things at their own tempo, and Southern Miss is among the worst teams in the country at controlling the clock. And there’s a reason for that.
The Golden Eagle run defense is non-existent – it’s the second-worst in the nation, allowing 235 yards per game. Troy might not be a dominant force on the ground, but …
Southern Miss at Troy Prediction, Betting Lines
Troy will limit the mistakes by running and running some more. The Trojans will pound the ball at least 40 times. Southern Miss won’t be able to get its defense off the field, and it’ll be a good performance at home to reset the season with a 1-0 Sun Belt start.
Troy 27, Southern Miss 17
Latest Consensus Line: Troy -10.5, o/u: 50.5
ATS Confidence (out of 5): 2.5
Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5
Consensus line based on BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.